39 reasons NOT to play Grarrl Keno

theonlysaneone · **Posted:** Tue Dec 27, 2005 9:30 pm

I was all Neoquest II-ed out for today, so I decided to calculate the probability of winning anything on Grarrl Keno. This is pretty bad...

2 selections
1 match: 1/40
2 matches: 1/3160

3 selections
2 matches: 3/3160
3 matches: 1/41080

4 selections
2 matches: 3/1580
3 matches: 1/20540
4 matches: 1/1581580

5 selections
2 matches: 1/316
3 matches: 1/8216
4 matches: 1/316316
5 matches: 1/24040016

6 selections
3 matches: 1/4108
4 matches: 3/316316
5 matches: 3/12020008
6 matches: 1/300500200

7 selections
3 matches: 7/16432
4 matches: 1/45188
5 matches: 3/3434288
6 matches: 1/42928600
7 matches: 1/3176716400

8 selections
4 matches: 1/22594
5 matches: 1/429286
6 matches: 1/10732150
7 matches: 1/397089550
8 matches: 1/28987537150

9 selections
0 matches: 71/80 (the best deal in the entire game-- a -11.25% payout)
4 matches: 9/112970
5 matches: 9/1717144
6 matches: 3/10732150
7 matches: 9/794179100
8 matches: 9/28987537150
9 matches: 1/231900297200

10 selections
0 matches: 7/8
4 matches: 3/22594
5 matches: 9/858572
6 matches: 3/4292860
7 matches: 3/79417910
8 matches: 9/5797507430
9 matches: 1/23190029720
10 matches: 1/1646492110120

Chance of being struck by lightning: 1/709260 (according to the Louisville Courier-Journal)
Chance of being struck TWICE: 1/503049747600

Conclusion:You have a better chance of being struck by lightning twice than you do of winning the ultimate prize in Grarrl Keno.

endeavourl · **Posts:** 1247 **Joined:** Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:34 pm

But what if I need the avatar?

Well, hopefully the avatar is a lot easier to get than winning that ultimate prize.

matchbow · **Posted:** Wed Dec 28, 2005 12:40 pm

yeah, it's fairlylikely to get the avatar, just be patient and keep spamming bets of the minimum amount

theonlysaneone · **Posted:** Thu Dec 29, 2005 5:46 am

How much do you need to get the avatar?

chris19894 · **Posted:** Thu Dec 29, 2005 6:46 am

at least 4 numbers

endeavourl · **Posts:** 1247 **Joined:** Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:34 pm

are you supposed to win something when you pick 10 numbers and match 4 of them?

cocacola · **Posts:** 28 **Joined:** Wed Jan 25, 2006 1:00 pm

yes, you get the avvie when you correctly guess four numbers. try refresh to make different numbers appear. it helps. that avie was pretty easy to get.

endeavourl · **Posts:** 1247 **Joined:** Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:34 pm

cocacola wrote:

yes, you get the avvie when you correctly gues four numbers. try refresh to make different numbers appear. it helps. that avie was pretty easy to get.

ive matched 4 numbers out of ten, but didnt win anything. Should I send in a bug report?

Catgrrrrrrl · **Posted:** Sun Jul 30, 2006 4:26 am

endeavourl wrote:

cocacola wrote:

yes, you get the avvie when you correctly gues four numbers. try refresh to make different numbers appear. it helps. that avie was pretty easy to get.

ive matched 4 numbers out of ten, but didnt win anything. Should I send in a bug report?

That happened to me too. People must be wrong about how to get the avatar. Maybe it is actually random?

stampsyne · **Posted:** Mon Jul 31, 2006 1:37 pm

I had to use IE instead of Firefox to obtain this particular avatar.

Winchycott · **Posted:** Sun Aug 06, 2006 11:31 am

Quickpick is the best when aiming for the avvie, I got it within 5 tries last time.
edit:btw the tonu-plushie avvie does'nt seem to be working either.

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39 reasons NOT to play Grarrl Keno

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