For Neopets ONLY discussion.
Wed Aug 31, 2016 6:05 pm
I'm not really happy with today's odds, either, but here's my set:
(Bonnie, Puff) x (Fed, Ed)
Goo x Fran x (Fed, Ed)
Stripe x (Fran, Buck, Ned) x Ed
Stripe x Fed
Chance of busting? Probably pretty high.
Wed Aug 31, 2016 10:03 pm
I barely got my bets in before the round ended, but it looks like P and I won the same 78:10 on Bonnie x Fed.
Feels good to end the month with a big win (and more than doubled my money for the month... again!

).
Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:06 pm
O.o Totally didn't see that one coming!! Definitely not complaining, but didn't see it coming.
716:290 for the month. Definitely not complaining. Not my *best* month ever, but well above normal. Very, very pleased with the way this month turned out - a great month to get back into it!
My "virtual hold" for tomorrow is 240:70. It'll be interesting to see where I would've ended up if I had held and collected after tomorrow's bets for a trophy.
Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:46 pm
P(24:10-90:10): 60%
EV: 1.79-2.53
Bets:
Ned x (Fran, Fair, Goo) x (Ed, Stripe)
Ned x Goo x Ed x (all in HC)
Thu Sep 01, 2016 10:08 pm
Yipes. I got caught up watching the Mark Hamill comic con panel, and almost forgot about FC!
Similar, with one change:
Ned x (Fran, Fair) x (Ed, Stripe)
Ned x Goo x Ed x (all in HC)
Ned x Goo x Stripe
Luck x Goo x Ed
I really don't like 10-betting on any one person.
ETA: 84:10
324:80 for my "virtual hold". Definitely would've secured first place...for quite a while, likely.
Fri Sep 02, 2016 1:36 pm
84:10 for me as well; also would have been good enough for a gold theoretically... but I already have one.
Edit: New bets:
P(12:10-116:10): 64%
EV: (0.46), 1.48-2.07
Bets:
Goo x (Buck, Ed) x (Fran, Orvinn, Bonnie)
Goo x Buck x Fran x (Scurvy, Fed, Black)
Goo x Fran
Deviated from my system a bit to cover Black b/c he's a very strong 13. Another option: omit Goo x Ed x (Orvinn, Bonnie). Alternative bets: Goo x Ed x Fran x (Scurvy, Fed), Goo x (Bonnie or Orvinn). Meh.
Fri Sep 02, 2016 8:20 pm
Ugh, today has been...special. I'm not putting much stock in my bets, mainly since I'm putting them in so late that the odds have re-stabilized and who knows what is worth anything. I don't like 10-betting, but Goo looks pretty strong today, and I don't have time to think it over more.
Goo x Buck x Fran x (All in HH)
Goo x (Buck, Ed) x (Bonnie, Orvinn)
Goo x Ed x Bonnie
Goo x Tail x Fran
Fri Sep 02, 2016 11:06 pm
I didn't cover Tail because he had low EV when I placed my bets. Managed 4:10, so at least it wasn't a total loss.
Fri Sep 02, 2016 11:22 pm
20:10 on the Tail safety. Better than I expected today would turn out.
Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:20 pm
Bets:
Fed x (Buck, Ned) x Goo
Fed x Fran x (all in HH)
Peg x Fran x Goo
Fed x Fran x (HC - Stuff) x Goo
Sat Sep 03, 2016 5:28 pm
Thanks guys for posting these. I actually had time today to place bets

I went 100% with Siniri's picks.
Now, I need to remember to check back sometime tonight/tomorrow morning!
Sat Sep 03, 2016 6:51 pm
Took mine almost straight today:
Peg x (Fran, Buck) x Goo
Peg x Buck
Fed x Fran x (All in HH)
Fed x Buck x Goo
Fed x Buck x (Bonnie, Ed) x Goo
Could substitute Fed x Fran x Scurvy with Fed x Buck
Sat Sep 03, 2016 10:11 pm
24:10
Glad you were able to play today, Blue!
Sat Sep 03, 2016 10:51 pm
Also 24:10, woot!
Sun Sep 04, 2016 12:55 pm
P(14:10-68:10): 75%
EV: 1.62-1.99
Bets:
Buck x (Goo, Bonnie)
Fed x Goo
Buck x Goo x (all in SW, HC - Fair)
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