Pink Poogle Toy Forum

New day:

Bets:
(Goo, Fran) x (Fed, Luck; HH - Capn)

Not following system. Probably shouldn't bet at all, but I've got to leave on my holiday trip now and can't resist.

Well, PPT was down when I made my bets, but I covered Goo x Young so I ended up with a 26:10. Black cost me some seriously good returns, though! Ah, well, can't frown at a 26:10! I mean, you could, but it'd be silly to, with the way this month has been going!

4:10. Should have skipped, or at least not spread myself too thin. Betting before the odds shift is always a crap shoot.

New bets:
Goo x (all in Lagoon; HH - Orvinn)
Luck x (HH - Orvinn)

Same as yesterday... probably shouldn't have bet. Hoping it works out better today, though!

Meh. Today looks terrible. Would recommend skipping. Definitely not a "safe" set....I'm figuring there'll be an upset. In fact, I'm hoping there's an upset. Preferably one that I covered.

(Stuff, Squire) x (Bonnie, Puff, Capn)
Luck x (Ed, Stripe, Tail; Bonnie)

Once again, meh.

22:10. Wish I'd had the guts to not cover any safeties (both yesterday and today), but at least I came out positive today.

Busted (as expected). Really didn't think Goo was going to make it, but Puff would've sunk me if I'd followed the system anyways. Tomorrow looks like it might be a little better. Guess we'll see...

P(18:10-84:10): 75%
EV: 2.04-2.53

Bets:
(Fed, Squire) x Goo
Fed x Goo x (all in TI; all in HH)

Today feels like a trap. Here's hoping it's not!

Spreading myself thin to cover upsets, in the hopes of catching something rather than nothing.

Fed x Goo x (All in HH)
Fed x (Bonnie, Peg, Luck)
(Squire, Orvinn, Capn) x Goo


ETA: Safety! 26:10 on Orvinn x Goo.

And with that, I'm finally net positive for the rest of the month, even if I lose every day. Finally.

Busted. December has not been very giving. *sigh* Hopefully the pirates will be nice for Christmas.

New day, new bets:
P(16:10-72:10): 57%
EV: 2.38-3.06

Bets:
Scurvy x Young x Goo x (Fed, Black) x Luck
Scurvy x (Ned, Young, Stripe; Fed) x Goo x Luck
Scurvy x Young x (Buck, Fran) x Luck
Scurvy x Young x Goo x (Ed, Bonnie)

Please don't be another trap, FC!

Didn't have time to think mine through. Barely had time to get them in.

Scurvy x (Young, Ned) x Goo x Fed x Luck
Scurvy x (Ned, Young, Stripe) x Goo x Luck
Scurvy x Young x Goo x Ed
Scurvy x Young x (Buck, Fran) x Luck
Scurvy x (Fran, Goo) x Fed x Luck

64:10 Woot!

P(12:10-32:10): 56% (with additional 34% chance of 6:10-8:10)
EV: 0.96-1.51

Bets:
(Buck, Tail) x (Goo, Scurvy, Ed)
Buck x Goo x (all in HH)

Merry Christmas, Happy Hannukah, and Happy Day of Giving! Let's hope the pirates are feeling generous...

64:10 yesterday, as well, yay!

Playing a little riskier than Siniri today.

Buck x (Goo, Scurvy) x (all in HH)
Buck x Ed
Tail x Goo

32:10. Not bad!

28:10
Not complaining. Still way better than nothing!


ETA: Mostly following exactly, with the exception of pulling up a Luck safety from further in the top 20. Hopefully it doesn't turn out to be Goo x Scurvy, or I'll bust.

Luck x Scurvy x Tail
Goo x Black x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)
(Buck, Goo) x Young x Tail
Buck x Black x Tail
Buck x Scurvy x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)

P(8:10-42:10): 75%
EV: 1.61-1.95

Bets:
Goo x (Black, Young, Scurvy) x Tail
Goo x Scurvy x (Capn, Orvinn)
(Buck, Luck) x Scurvy x Tail
Buck x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)

Edit: Was betting on the fly, so I just followed my system, choosing the bets that had at least a 3% chance of winning. I knew there was a big chance of a double upset, but I just didn't have the time to tease out which I should place. The winning combo was really high on my list, but I skipped it. Ah, well. I think Pickles got it. Congrats!