Tyrannu Evavu scoring

[Rognik]

Don't know if this has been done, but has anyone graphed out the scoring equation for Tyrannu Evavu? They give a partial list, so it shouldn't be too hard. Only thing I've worked out so far is that you need to be right 6 times to actually make money (even though it's just 1 NP). If not, I offer myself for the job. So if you've ever played this game, either for the avatar or just for fun, post your score here with the number of cards right at the time. (No repeats please.)

Number of correct guesses Prize

0 ................................... 0 NP
1 ................................... 3 NP
2 ................................... 7 NP
3 ................................... 10 NP
4 ................................... 14 NP
5 ................................... 18 NP
6 ................................... 31 NP
7 ................................... 62 NP
9 .................................. 124 NP
10 ................................ 156 NP
11 ................................ 225 NP
15 ................................ 408 NP
20 ............................... 1,116 NP
30 ............................... 2,388 NP
40 ............................... 4,800 NP
50 ............................... 7,200 NP
52 .............................. 12,000 NP

Last edited by Rognik on Sun Apr 30, 2006 1:51 am, edited 4 times in total.

[Katy]

1= 3np
3= 10np
4= 14np
7 = 62np

[Rognik]

I've edited the top post to include the one post I've received in addition. I've figured out why I haven't seen a list like this before: no one cares enough, it seems.

A second theory I have is that the type of dealer actually affects the probability somehow, but I don't have any basis for this statement. Can people tell me if they feel they are being cheated more often with, say, Oogaroo than with Jarbjarb?

[AySz88]

I played around with this when I was trying for the avatar. The deck of cards, as far as I can tell, seems to be literally a 52-card deck (without replacement), so I'm not sure why the difference between 50 and 52 is so large, since technically at the 51st card you already definately know what the last card will be, and with the 50th card you'll get the guess right 78% of the time even if you don't keep track. With such a big difference between the 50th and 52nd card payouts, I'd bet that the formula is not based on the probabilities.

[Rognik]

I know that the payout is definitely not based on probablity. Looking at the different intervals on the list, it seems like the payout is doubling. But without more data between 15 and 50, I can't really do any sort of regressive analysis. (Or maybe I can, but I don't feel confident of it.)