39 reasons NOT to play Grarrl Keno

[theonlysaneone]

I was all Neoquest II-ed out for today, so I decided to calculate the probability of winning anything on Grarrl Keno. This is pretty bad...

2 selections
1 match: 1/40
2 matches: 1/3160

3 selections
2 matches: 3/3160
3 matches: 1/41080

4 selections
2 matches: 3/1580
3 matches: 1/20540
4 matches: 1/1581580

5 selections
2 matches: 1/316
3 matches: 1/8216
4 matches: 1/316316
5 matches: 1/24040016

6 selections
3 matches: 1/4108
4 matches: 3/316316
5 matches: 3/12020008
6 matches: 1/300500200

7 selections
3 matches: 7/16432
4 matches: 1/45188
5 matches: 3/3434288
6 matches: 1/42928600
7 matches: 1/3176716400

8 selections
4 matches: 1/22594
5 matches: 1/429286
6 matches: 1/10732150
7 matches: 1/397089550
8 matches: 1/28987537150

9 selections
0 matches: 71/80 (the best deal in the entire game-- a -11.25% payout)
4 matches: 9/112970
5 matches: 9/1717144
6 matches: 3/10732150
7 matches: 9/794179100
8 matches: 9/28987537150
9 matches: 1/231900297200

10 selections
0 matches: 7/8
4 matches: 3/22594
5 matches: 9/858572
6 matches: 3/4292860
7 matches: 3/79417910
8 matches: 9/5797507430
9 matches: 1/23190029720
10 matches: 1/1646492110120

Chance of being struck by lightning: 1/709260 (according to the Louisville Courier-Journal)
Chance of being struck TWICE: 1/503049747600

Conclusion:You have a better chance of being struck by lightning twice than you do of winning the ultimate prize in Grarrl Keno.

[endeavourl]

But what if I need the avatar? Well, hopefully the avatar is a lot easier to get than winning that ultimate prize.

[matchbow]

yeah, it's fairlylikely to get the avatar, just be patient and keep spamming bets of the minimum amount

[theonlysaneone]

How much do you need to get the avatar?

[chris19894]

at least 4 numbers

[endeavourl]

are you supposed to win something when you pick 10 numbers and match 4 of them?

[cocacola]

yes, you get the avvie when you correctly guess four numbers. try refresh to make different numbers appear. it helps. that avie was pretty easy to get.

Last edited by cocacola on Thu Feb 02, 2006 10:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.

[endeavourl]

yes, you get the avvie when you correctly gues four numbers. try refresh to make different numbers appear. it helps. that avie was pretty easy to get.

ive matched 4 numbers out of ten, but didnt win anything. Should I send in a bug report?

[Catgrrrrrrl]

yes, you get the avvie when you correctly gues four numbers. try refresh to make different numbers appear. it helps. that avie was pretty easy to get.

ive matched 4 numbers out of ten, but didnt win anything. Should I send in a bug report?

That happened to me too. People must be wrong about how to get the avatar. Maybe it is actually random?

[stampsyne]

I had to use IE instead of Firefox to obtain this particular avatar.

[Winchycott]

Quickpick is the best when aiming for the avvie, I got it within 5 tries last time.
edit:btw the tonu-plushie avvie does'nt seem to be working either.